Faruk Dziho

The Texas Grid

Daily demand and generation mix on the ERCOT grid, 2019–present · data as of August 11, 2026 · weekly datapoints →

ERCOT runs the grid for about 90% of Texas — an island, electrically speaking, with almost no connection to the rest of the country. That isolation makes it a clean natural experiment: what happens when a grid grows fast and re-fuels itself at the same time? These charts track both stories using daily data from the EIA's Hourly Electric Grid Monitor.

Avg daily demand, last 12 mo
1,367 GWh
+30% vs 2019
Wind + solar share, last 12 mo
39%
+18 pts vs 2019 (21%)
Record demand day
1,812 GWh
Jul 22, 2026 (summer peak)
Latest full week peak
1,758 GWh
week ending Aug 9

Demand keeps climbing

Each line is one year of daily demand (7-day average), laid over the calendar. The summer hump is air conditioning; the winter spikes are heating during cold snaps. Two things stand out: the whole curve shifts upward year after year — data centers, electrification, population growth — and the highest single day on record is no longer a summer afternoon but a January morning.

Daily electricity demand by day of year

GWh per day, 7-day centered average · 2019–2026

1,0001,500JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20252026
202620252019–2024

The mix is transforming

Monthly share of generation by fuel. Solar barely registered in 2019; by 2026 it routinely supplies a sixth of ERCOT's energy across a month, and wind and solar together supply about 39% over the last twelve months. Gas still sets the pace — and coal, squeezed from both sides, has lost roughly half its share since 2019.

Share of generation by fuel

Monthly, % of total ERCOT generation · Jan 2019 – Jun 2026

0%25%50%75%100%20192021202320250%25%50%75%100%2019202120232025SolarWindNuclearCoalGas
SolarWindNuclearCoalNatural gasOther

Wind + solar, week by week

The renewable share is volatile week to week — a windy cold front can push it past half of all generation, a still August week can halve it — but the trend underneath is steady. The weekly datapoints page tracks this series as new weeks come in.

Wind + solar share of generation

Weekly, with 13-week centered average · 2019–2026

0%20%40%60%20212023202539%
13-week averageweekly
Data table — yearly summary
YearAvg daily demand (GWh)Peak day, 7-day avg (GWh)Wind + solar share
20191,0511,41321.6%
20201,0411,41225.6%
20211,0761,39029.1%
20221,1801,52431.1%
20231,2241,68532.3%
20241,2681,67835.1%
20251,3391,64437.9%
2026 (partial)1,3831,74442.6%
Data table — monthly fuel mix
MonthSolarWindNuclearCoalNatural gasOther
2026-0718.6%18.1%7.2%13.1%43.0%0.0%
2026-0616.9%24.3%6.9%11.4%40.6%0.0%
2026-0518.7%23.1%7.1%10.2%40.9%0.0%
2026-0415.2%30.0%7.6%11.8%35.4%0.0%
2026-0317.7%35.1%8.8%10.6%27.8%0.0%
2026-0216.1%28.7%10.3%13.4%31.4%0.0%
2026-0111.4%24.1%9.5%13.8%41.1%0.0%
2025-1210.7%28.6%10.1%12.3%37.9%0.3%
2025-1113.9%27.5%9.1%12.7%35.5%1.3%
2025-1015.0%21.9%7.0%13.6%42.5%0.0%
2025-0915.8%15.4%7.7%13.7%47.4%0.0%
2025-0815.0%14.4%7.5%12.8%50.4%0.0%
2025-0715.1%19.2%7.8%12.8%45.1%0.0%
2025-0615.4%23.5%8.0%12.3%40.8%0.1%
2025-0515.8%22.5%8.1%11.4%42.1%0.1%
2025-0414.4%33.4%9.1%11.5%31.6%0.0%
2025-0314.8%34.7%10.9%12.2%27.4%0.0%
2025-0210.6%25.9%9.9%13.9%39.8%0.0%
2025-018.2%23.6%9.4%16.2%42.6%0.0%
2024-128.6%26.5%10.9%15.7%38.4%0.0%
2024-1110.3%29.3%8.1%13.4%38.9%0.0%
2024-1012.2%24.0%6.4%13.0%43.8%0.6%
2024-0911.7%14.5%8.7%14.7%49.9%0.6%
2024-0811.7%15.2%7.3%13.0%52.2%0.6%
2024-0711.4%18.1%7.7%13.5%48.7%0.5%
2024-0611.2%22.5%7.9%11.1%46.7%0.7%
2024-0510.2%25.1%7.3%10.8%46.0%0.7%
2024-0410.3%34.5%8.0%10.5%36.2%0.5%
2024-0310.1%31.6%9.5%9.2%39.2%0.5%
2024-028.6%35.5%11.4%10.5%33.5%0.5%
2024-015.8%22.3%9.1%16.1%46.3%0.4%
2023-126.7%27.9%11.4%14.7%39.0%0.3%
2023-116.1%24.8%10.4%16.4%42.1%0.3%
2023-107.3%24.7%9.1%15.1%43.5%0.3%
2023-097.5%16.8%8.3%14.7%52.3%0.3%
2023-087.8%15.7%7.3%14.0%54.9%0.3%
2023-078.2%18.9%7.8%14.4%50.4%0.3%
2023-068.2%19.1%8.0%14.6%49.8%0.3%
2023-058.2%20.3%8.0%14.4%48.8%0.2%
2023-048.3%33.1%8.8%12.9%36.5%0.4%
2023-036.4%34.7%10.4%11.5%36.6%0.4%
2023-024.8%33.6%11.3%11.9%38.1%0.3%
2023-014.7%33.7%11.7%12.3%37.3%0.3%
2022-123.5%25.3%11.2%16.4%43.2%0.4%
2022-114.1%28.8%10.6%17.8%38.5%0.3%
2022-106.3%22.9%9.2%17.6%43.6%0.4%
2022-096.8%15.4%9.0%17.1%51.4%0.3%
2022-085.6%14.7%8.7%16.1%54.7%0.3%
2022-076.4%19.2%8.1%15.6%50.3%0.4%
2022-066.4%23.2%8.6%16.0%45.3%0.4%
2022-056.1%32.5%8.5%13.4%39.1%0.4%
2022-045.9%38.1%9.9%16.6%29.1%0.3%
2022-035.8%36.3%12.5%17.1%28.1%0.2%
2022-024.6%26.5%11.1%19.3%38.3%0.3%
2022-014.0%25.3%11.4%19.8%39.1%0.3%
2021-123.4%31.9%12.6%18.7%33.2%0.2%
2021-114.2%30.6%10.8%19.0%35.1%0.2%
2021-104.3%26.4%6.7%18.9%43.2%0.3%
2021-094.8%18.6%9.9%19.0%47.3%0.4%
2021-084.1%17.9%9.0%18.8%49.9%0.3%
2021-074.6%13.6%9.4%20.8%51.2%0.3%
2021-064.4%18.7%8.4%21.0%47.1%0.3%
2021-054.3%28.7%11.9%18.9%35.9%0.3%
2021-043.5%31.8%10.7%17.4%36.2%0.2%
2021-033.8%38.6%12.5%14.9%30.0%0.1%
2021-022.3%20.8%11.6%19.3%45.8%0.2%
2021-012.3%25.1%12.4%22.2%37.8%0.1%
2020-122.1%27.9%12.6%21.4%35.9%0.1%
2020-112.1%27.8%12.6%20.3%37.1%0.1%
2020-102.2%23.3%10.0%19.3%45.0%0.1%
2020-092.4%15.4%11.1%20.9%49.9%0.3%
2020-082.5%15.9%9.2%18.7%53.5%0.3%
2020-072.7%17.2%9.3%17.1%53.5%0.1%
2020-062.8%23.6%10.3%16.8%46.4%0.1%
2020-052.8%25.1%11.0%16.9%44.1%0.2%
2020-042.1%27.6%10.1%19.1%40.9%0.3%
2020-031.5%26.2%11.4%15.9%43.3%1.7%
2020-021.3%25.8%12.8%15.0%44.8%0.3%
2020-011.2%25.9%12.9%16.0%40.3%3.8%
2019-121.1%22.6%13.0%18.5%42.8%2.0%
2019-110.9%23.1%12.7%20.6%42.5%0.1%
2019-101.1%22.4%9.4%20.9%46.1%0.1%
2019-091.0%16.1%9.7%19.8%53.3%0.2%
2019-081.1%14.5%8.9%17.8%57.5%0.2%
2019-071.2%15.7%9.5%19.9%53.4%0.2%
2019-061.2%16.5%10.3%20.5%51.2%0.4%
2019-051.1%22.2%9.2%21.0%45.9%0.6%
2019-041.4%26.7%12.2%19.3%40.0%0.4%
2019-030.9%21.8%13.4%21.8%41.7%0.3%
2019-020.8%23.6%13.1%23.8%38.4%0.3%
2019-010.7%21.5%10.9%22.8%43.6%0.5%

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Hourly Electric Grid Monitor (Form EIA-930), daily series for the ERCOT balancing authority, Central time. Generation shares are shares of total net generation within ERCOT; small negative values (storage charging) are floored at zero. Demand is energy per day (GWh), not instantaneous load — a 1,700 GWh day averages about 71 GW. Data retrieved August 11, 2026. Built by Faruk Dziho.